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Supply–demand balance models

Models that compare total water supply capacity against projected demand under different scenarios including population growth, climate change, and new infrastructure.

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What are these models?

Models that compare total water supply capacity against projected demand under different scenarios including population growth, climate change, and new infrastructure.

What are they used for?

  • Identifying future supply shortages
  • Planning new infrastructure investment
  • Testing demand reduction strategies
  • Comparing supply diversification options

Typical inputs

  • Population growth projections
  • Per capita consumption trends
  • Climate impact on rainfall and runoff
  • New supply source capacity

Typical outputs

  • Supply deficit or surplus over time
  • Infrastructure requirements and timing
  • Scenario comparisons (dry year, climate change, growth)

Tools & sources

Where these models are used

Case Study Tool / Model What it does
NEWater Whole-of-system water resource model Balances supply, demand, reuse, and desalination
Melbourne Water Conservation REALM (Resource Allocation Model) Simulates supply-demand under drought scenarios
Cape Town Day Zero Crisis WCWSS system model Models drought scenarios and supply constraints
National Desalination Programme National water balance model Plans desalination capacity against national demand
Beckton Desalination Plant Reverse osmosis system models Simulates energy use and output for drought activation

Related use cases

Decisions these models support: